Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Monarcas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.0 against 69.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60