Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.0 against 69.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40