Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.0 against 69.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40