GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/12/2025, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorados are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.0 against 68.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoradosLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasDDLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DoradosMineros de Zacatecas
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power68.8
1.81xG1.59
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