DoradosvsLeones Negros UDG

Dorados are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.