GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorados are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoradosLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DoradosCorrecaminos Uat
66.7Attack91.7
66.7Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
68.0Power62.0
1.96xG1.56
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