GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/8/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorados are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoradosDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatLDDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DoradosCorrecaminos Uat
66.7Attack91.7
66.7Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
68.0Power62.0
1.96xG1.56
View match centre →