Doradosvs
Cimarrones
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/18/2024, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Cimarrones are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60