GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/28/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorados are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoradosLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DoradosCDS Tampico Madero
66.7Attack25.0
55.6Defence58.3
55.6Form33.3
60.9Power39.2
1.74xG1.01
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