GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/23/2025, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoradosWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoDWDWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DoradosCDS Tampico Madero
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence88.9
66.7Form44.4
68.0Power54.9
1.53xG1.09
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