Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dorados are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 54.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60