Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dorados are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 54.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75