Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50