GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoradosLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCDWWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DoradosAtlante FC
66.7Attack48.4
66.7Defence78.6
66.7Form63.5
68.0Power63.9
0.94xG1.22
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