Doradosvs
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/21/2025, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dorados are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60