DoradosvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Dorados are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.