DoradosvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Dorados are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.