Dongguan Unitedvs
Suzhou Dongwu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 5/10/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dongguan United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Suzhou Dongwu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Suzhou Dongwu hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80