GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/30/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nanjing City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Dongguan United are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Nanjing City are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Nanjing City hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the League One, while Nanjing City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nanjing City

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Nanjing City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dongguan UnitedW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Nanjing CityW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Dongguan UnitedNanjing City
35.2Attack31.5
35.2Defence63.0
20.4Form37.0
32.6Power46.1
0.80xG1.16
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