Dongguan Unitedvs
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 5/23/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heilongjiang Lava Spring · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dongguan United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heilongjiang Lava Spring hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the League One, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
10.9%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80