Dongguan Unitedvs
Dalian Huayi
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalian Huayi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dongguan United 0-0 Dalian Huayi
Original prediction
Dalian Huayi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.99 | 22.8% | 21.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.6% | 22.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.6% | 56.4% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Dalian Huayi
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Dalian Huayi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00