Dongguan Unitedvs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 4/18/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Changchun Yatai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dongguan United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Yatai hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the League One, while Changchun Yatai holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Changchun Yatai
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00