Dong Thapvs
Thai Nguyen
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 2 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thai Nguyen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dong Thap 0-3 Thai Nguyen
Original prediction
Thai Nguyen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.70 | 24.5% | 35.2% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 28.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.6% | 36.2% | -13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Thai Nguyen
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Thai Nguyen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00