Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wigan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wigan
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00