Doncastervs
Stockport County
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockport County · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Doncaster 0-2 Stockport County
Original prediction
Stockport County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.24 | 22.0% | 20.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.3% | 23.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 54.6% | 57.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Stockport County
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20