GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 3/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Doncaster are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stockport County are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Doncaster

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoncasterLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stockport CountyLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DoncasterStockport County
55.6Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
55.6Form33.3
59.8Power40.9
1.97xG0.99
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