Doncastervs
Sheffield Wednesday
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Doncaster 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Doncaster 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 34.6% | 25.0% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.3% | 26.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 39.1% | 48.5% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Projected Score
Doncaster 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00