Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceDoncaster are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rochdale are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DoncasterDWDLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RochdaleLDDWD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DoncasterRochdale
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24