GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/24/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Doncaster are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manchester United U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Doncaster

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

64.2%

Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoncasterDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Manchester United U21WWLLD

GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DoncasterManchester United U21
55.6Attack55.6
66.7Defence0.0
55.6Form11.1
59.8Power22.2
2.55xG1.12
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