GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Doncaster are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Huddersfield are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Doncaster

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoncasterWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HuddersfieldLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DoncasterHuddersfield
55.6Attack66.7
66.7Defence50.0
55.6Form50.0
59.8Power55.0
1.89xG1.34
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