Doncastervs
Harrogate Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Harrogate Town are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the League Two, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/1.00