Doncastervs
Fleetwood Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.8 against 59.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60