GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Doncaster are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Everton U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Doncaster

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoncasterWWWLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Everton U21LLWWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DoncasterEverton U21
55.6Attack11.1
66.7Defence55.6
55.6Form33.3
59.8Power37.2
1.94xG1.00
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