Doncastervs
Everton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Everton U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00