Doncastervs
Chesterfield
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chesterfield are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00