Doncastervs
Burton Albion
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Burton Albion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.8 against 59.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80