Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiener SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Donau 2-3 Wiener SC
Original prediction
Wiener SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.61 | 19.3% | 21.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.6% | 22.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.1% | 56.3% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Wiener SC
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Wiener SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DonauDWWDD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Wiener SCLWDLW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DonauWiener SC
54.2Attack75.0
37.5Defence79.2
41.7Form66.7
44.4Power70.7
1.05xG2.52