Donauvs
Traiskirchen
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 8/28/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Traiskirchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Donau 1-1 Traiskirchen
Original prediction
Traiskirchen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.60 | 19.6% | 25.6% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.87 | 18.5% | 21.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 61.9% | 53.1% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Traiskirchen
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Traiskirchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20