Donauvs
Scheiblingkirchen
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Donau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Donau 2-2 Scheiblingkirchen
Original prediction
Donau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.1% | 37.4% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 25.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.5% | 37.4% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Donau
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Donau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00