Donauvs
Favoritner AC
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Favoritner AC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Donau 4-0 Favoritner AC
Original prediction
Favoritner AC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.9% | 28.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 25.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.3% | 45.5% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Favoritner AC
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Favoritner AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40