Donau Klagenfurtvs
Velden
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - South · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Donau Klagenfurt 2-3 Velden
Original prediction
Velden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.5% | 24.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.7% | 24.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.8% | 51.8% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Velden
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Velden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60