Don Benitovs
Las Palmas II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Don Benito · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Don Benito 3-0 Las Palmas II
Original prediction
Don Benito
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.1% | 37.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 28.8% | 29.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.1% | 32.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Don Benito
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Don Benito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00