Don Benitovs
Extremadura 1924
COMPLETEDSpain · Copa del Rey · 10/27/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Extremadura 1924 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Don Benito 2-4 Extremadura 1924
Original prediction
Extremadura 1924
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 25.4% | 35.4% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.8% | 27.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 48.8% | 37.2% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Extremadura 1924
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Extremadura 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20