Don Benitovs
Atlético Central
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Don Benito · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Don Benito 4-2 Atlético Central
Original prediction
Don Benito
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.9% | 50.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.4% | 25.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 23.6% | 24.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Don Benito
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Don Benito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20