Dominican Republicvs
Nicaragua
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dominican Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dominican Republic 0-0 Nicaragua, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dominican Republic 3-2 Nicaragua
Original prediction
Dominican Republic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 61.0% | 41.4% | -19.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.6% | 31.4% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 5.95 | 15.5% | 27.2% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Projected Score
Dominican Republic 0–0 Nicaragua
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Dominican Republic
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Dominican Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80