Dominicavs
Puerto Rico
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/28/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dominica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dominica 0-2 Puerto Rico
Original prediction
Dominica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 22.8% | 39.0% | 16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 24.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 51.1% | 36.7% | -14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dominica
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Dominica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.20/0.00
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60