Domagnanovs
San Giovanni
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 9/4/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Domagnano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Domagnano 4-0 San Giovanni
Original prediction
Domagnano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.3% | 49.6% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.7% | 25.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.0% | 25.0% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Domagnano
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Domagnano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40