Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Domagnano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Murata are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Domagnano hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Coppa Titano, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40