Domagnanovs
La Fiorita
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Domagnano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Domagnano 1-2 La Fiorita
Original prediction
Domagnano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.96 | 22.8% | 39.1% | 16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.1% | 26.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.2% | 34.5% | -17.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Domagnano
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Domagnano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00