Doma Unitedvs
Kun Khalifat FC
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doma United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Doma United 1-0 Kun Khalifat FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Doma United 1-1 Kun Khalifat FC
Original prediction
Doma United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.0% | 59.6% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.5% | 23.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 7.17 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Projected Score
Doma United 1–0 Kun Khalifat FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Doma United
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Doma United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00